Bitcoin to Hit $4.3M by 2036? Experts Predict Astronomical Rise
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Academic researchers Murray Rudd and Dennis Porter predict Bitcoin (BTC) could reach a staggering $4.3 million by 2036, fueled by sustained institutional buying. Their model, based on “economic physics,” accounts for Bitcoin's inelastic supply and the impact of increasing institutional demand. They warn of a significant “supply shock,” potentially causing price volatility unseen before. The researchers highlight that only half of Bitcoin's total supply is actively liquid, meaning even moderate institutional purchases could create significant scarcity. Examples include daily ETF purchases averaging 285 BTC, Bitcoin treasury companies removing thousands of coins, and Senator Lummis' proposed one million BTC strategic reserve. The analysis presents three scenarios: a conservative estimate of $2.2 million by 2036 (20-fold demand increase), a bullish scenario reaching $5 million by 2031 (30-fold demand increase), and an extreme scenario hitting $4.3 million by 2036 (40-fold demand increase). The core argument is that traditional supply-demand models don't apply to Bitcoin's fixed supply, meaning that delayed institutional investment could result in being permanently priced out of the market. The prediction underscores a transformative period for Bitcoin, highlighting the potential for significant wealth redistribution and emphasizing the importance of early strategic positioning in the digital asset landscape. Their model's accuracy is supported by the fact that their calculation of a $106,000 Bitcoin price based on 2,000 daily withdrawals is already close to the current market price, suggesting their framework has predictive power.
