Bitcoin LTH Distribution: Market Correction Imminent?
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Bitcoin's price has been range-bound between $115,000 and $120,000 for the past 10 days, leading analysts to predict a potential correction. A key indicator, the Monthly Cumulative Days Destroyed (CDD) to Yearly CDD ratio, has reached a historically high level of 0.25, suggesting increased activity from long-term holders (LTHs) who may be taking profits. This on-chain behavior, similar to patterns observed during market corrections in 2014 and 2019, points to a potential distribution phase. Analyst Axel Adler notes that this heightened CDD ratio signifies LTHs moving dormant coins back into circulation, a behavior often associated with profit-taking. However, the situation isn't entirely bearish. Strong treasury demand and steady Bitcoin ETF inflows provide a counterbalance, offering structural support against excessive downward pressure. Technically, Bitcoin's price hovers near the 50-period moving average, with the 100 and 200-period moving averages remaining bullish. However, decreasing volume during this consolidation period indicates indecision among buyers. A breakout above $122,000 could reignite bullish momentum, while a fall below $115,700 could lead to a deeper correction targeting the 100 MA near $109,800. The current market situation is a critical inflection point, with the potential for either renewed upside or a significant correction depending on whether bulls can regain momentum. The interplay of on-chain data, technical indicators, and macro trends makes this period crucial for Bitcoin's short-term future.
(Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-lths-start-distributing-cdd-ratio-hits-historic-levels/)
