Bitcoin Supply Drying on Binance Signals Bullish Market Shift

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By September 30, 2025March 22, 2026

Recent market analysis reveals a significant shift in Bitcoin (BTC) investor behavior on centralized exchanges, particularly Binance, indicating a potential bullish trend. The core ‘product’ or analytical methodology highlighted is the tracking of Bitcoin Netflow on exchanges and the activity of ‘whole coiners’—investors holding at least one full BTC.

Key features of this analysis include monitoring the Bitcoin Exchange Netflow on Binance, a metric that measures the difference between BTC entering and leaving the platform. When this metric turns negative, it signifies more Bitcoin is being withdrawn than deposited. Market expert Burak Kesmeci reported a sharp decline, with the Netflow falling below -100 BTC to a current value of -311 BTC. This technical specification points to a reevaluation of holdings by centralized investors. A negative netflow historically suggests decreasing selling pressure and a stronger ‘HODL’ (hold on for dear life) activity, often preceding upward price movements, thus serving as a potential buy signal for traders.

Further supporting this trend is the observed activity among Bitcoin whole coiners. Research indicates that the volume of transactions from these significant investors has reached a new cycle low. Binance’s average yearly inflows from whole coiners, which peaked at approximately 11,500 BTC in November 2023, have now dropped to about 7,000 BTC. Across all crypto exchanges, average yearly whole coiner deposits have decreased from 45% in May 2024 to roughly 30% currently. This group, whose actions provide valuable market insights due to the symbolic and costly nature of owning a full Bitcoin, is moving BTC off exchanges into private storage or accumulation wallets.

The benefits of these trends are multifaceted: they indicate a growing conviction in BTC’s long-term value, reduced market selling pressure, and a potential precursor to the next Bitcoin rally. The target audience for these insights includes short-term traders looking for entry signals, long-term investors seeking confirmation of market strength, and market analysts tracking supply dynamics. Ultimately, these movements suggest a drying up of readily available supply on exchanges, reinforcing bullish sentiment.

(Source: https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-on-binance-negative/)